Tuesday April 26th were the Democratic primary elections in Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island.
Another great night for Hillary Clinton that read as much as a hammer blow to the Sanders campaign as it did an electoral victory. Clinton took 4 of the 5 states, winning by 52 pledged delegates and almost half a million votes, taking an overwhelming 293 pledged delegate lead.
Clinton continued to dominate with women, voters over 40 years old, Blacks, and Democrats. Sanders continued his lock on independent voters.
While Clinton did expand her lead and is all but guaranteed the nomination (and the presidency), Tuesday’s elections do little to change the dynamic of the Democratic nomination process, save to place Sanders further back in the rear view mirror, and to make Sanders campaign claims of influence and rationales for continuing the campaign and solicitation of donations ring more hollow.
1,202 pledged and unpledged delegates remain to be had, and 2,383 are needed to win the nomination to be the party’s candidate.
As it stands now:
Clinton needs 719 more pledged delegates to win with pledged delegates alone, or 71% of those remaining. To win with pledged and super delegates, Clinton needs 232 more, or 19% of those remaining.
Sanders needs 1,012 more pledged delegates to win with pledged delegates alone, or almost 100% of those remaining. To win with pledged and super delegates, Sanders needs 971 more, or 81% of those remaining.
Clearly the numbers are prohibitive for Sanders; this race is over.
The next elections are:
• May 3rd, Indiana, open primary, 83 delegates
• May 7th, Guam, closed caucus, 7 delegates
• May 10th, West Virginia, semi closed primary, 29 delegates
• May 17th, Kentucky, closed primary, 55 delegates; Oregon, closed primary, 61 delegates
About the numbers:
These numbers are the most accurate available. No, CNN, the AP, and Real Clear Politics do not have accurate numbers. They simply report the numbers from election night and often do not update with corrections until the next election night, if at all. They often have charts that auto update without accounting for differences in caucus and primary states.
These numbers are based on the latest information and use the Democratic Party allocation formula, and are updated to account for changes. There is still a limit to their accuracy. As Nevada shows, no delegate counts are final until they are allocated at the Democratic convention in July.
Tuesday, April 19th was the Democratic primary in New York. The state is not yet fully reported, but we do have a good picture of what happened.
Hillary Clinton walked away with a convincing win, taking 139 pledged delegates at the current count. Not only did Clinton win almost 58% of the popular vote, she won Democrats and women with 62 and 63%,
| Continue reading >> Democratic Primary Update – Wednesday April 20
One thing that has really been bothering me during the Democratic primary and about Bernie Sanders specifically is the severity of his ignorance and detachment from reality.
Bear with me – I honestly believe that is an objective assessment, not an insult.
At the root of it is a complete ignorance of process and any understanding of how to accomplish something, and how long
| Continue reading >> Dear Berners: There’s No Getting Around Process
So much angst, talk and spin coming from certain campaigns these days, it might be helpful to have an overview of the Democratic primary race up to this point.
Although the Sanders campaign grows more desperate by the day, the numbers do not lie. We’ve all seen it by now. The wild and nasty insults against Clinton and her supporters. The outright denial of
| Continue reading >> State of the Democratic Primary – Monday April 11
One thing I have learned over the years of studying government and electoral politics is that things aren’t always what they seem. As a progressive, I took it as a matter of fact that the ‘Left’ were the good guys and the ‘Right’ bad. Black and white. Over the past few years however I have discovered that things are not so clear. While
| Continue reading >> Here’s What Hillary Clinton Said
Before making wild accusations about accuracy or motives, read this.
Last Saturday April 9th was the closed caucus in the state of Wyoming. Sanders won, taking 56% of the state convention delegates. In all, because of the proportional system for awarding delegates, the candidates split the delegates taking 7 each, which means that although she lost more counties, Clinton won the largest and
| Continue reading >> Democratic Primary Update – Sunday April 10th
Coming off what may be a record week in the history of fact checking, Bernie goes for a blow out.
In less than a week, Sanders has garnered 10 pinocchios from the Washington Post and a ‘false’ and ‘mostly false’ from Politifact. In just 5 days.
But that wasn’t good enough for Sanders. He decided to continue the death spiral with more lies by
| Continue reading >> Sanders Begins His Death Spiral
Yesterday was the election in Wisconsin where Bernie took the win with 57% of the vote, gaining the majority of 86 pledged delegates. With 3 pledged delegates yet to be assigned, Bernie cuts into Clinton’s pledged delegate lead by 11 after last night’s win. Clinton remains far ahead in pledged and unpledged delegates, and in popular votes. As always, delegate counts are not
| Continue reading >> Democratic Primary Update – Wednesday April 6th
WASHINGTON, DC – JANUARY 19: Florida Representative Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-FL) speaks onstage at the Inaugural Youth Ball hosted by OurTime.org on January 19, 2013 in Washington, United States. (Photo by Stephen Lovekin/Getty Images for OurTime.org)
There is no doubt that women in general face sexism daily. Hillary in particular is a glaring and unfortunate example of sexism faced by women as they strive
| Continue reading >> The Crucifixion of Debbie Wasserman-Schultz
Hillary Clinton had a great night on Tuesday, winning all the biggest states, and splitting Missouri, winning the popular vote and losing by one delegate.
The results add up to a statistically insurmountable lead that should carry her all the way to the nomination. I have been saying since Bernie got in that he would not be able to get the numbers he needed to
| Continue reading >> The State of The Democratic Primary 3/16/2016
I have been promising for a few weeks to go into detail about how nutty Bernie’s tax proposals are, specifically when it comes to paying for medicare-for-all. Well, I finally saw the annoying and unofficial chart below one too many times, and I finally had my fill of watching liberals defend Bernie’s awful anti-liberal proposal.
I have two major problems with the proposal. One, it
| Continue reading >> The Horrible Flaw In Bernie’s Tax Plan That No One Is Talking About
The U.S. Department of Justice has been investigating whether individuals and entities involved in toxic, collateralized mortgage-backed securities can be charged with crimes. But, as yet, there have been no criminal convictions of high-level corporate officials directly linked to the practice.
Michael Greenberger, former director of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s Division of Trading and Markets, says the Obama administration needs to
| Continue reading >> Great Recession: Where’s the Punishment After the Crime?
One would believe that there is no black middle class, that we do not own homes or occupy executive offices. One would have to believe that there are no African American college graduates who are still worried that they cannot afford the same for their children. One would think that we are not small business owners, college professors, police officers or postal workers.
| Continue reading >> The Unbearable Whiteness of Being Bernie
I got to tell you. We saw it in Seattle with BLM, and now that we are on the verge of voting in SC, I have to chuckle to myself. White Sanders supporters just do not get it. Honestly, I don’t think a lot of White Clinton supporters get it either, but they’ll take it. The frustration in the Sanders campaign is erupting in
| Continue reading >> The Black Vote And Racist Incredulity
Today you are hearing a lot about Hillary, Black lives matter, and super predators. First, besides my impression that to me the so-called protester was little more than a Bernie supporter attempting to smear Clinton, the absurdity of what she was saying becomes clear when you see the full speech, which I have provided below. I hear a lot about the Clinton’s creation of
| Continue reading >> Not A Super Predator. Super Uninformed. The Death Of #BLM.
There truly is a brand of young political idealist — and that’s the nice way of referring to it — which is wielding its vote, or lack thereof, as a weapon to hopefully get Bernie Sanders elected. These are the people who threaten to stay home on election day, so to speak, and who insist that that very boycott will be what
| Continue reading >> After Nevada, the Threats from the “Bernie or Bust” Crowd Grow Louder
The problem is that you’re talking to people who sense that something is wrong, are angry about it and want to know where to place the blame. You are giving them a cabal of boogeyman bankers, corporations and allegedly bought politicians to bear the brunt of that resentment. You’re doing this through a fair degree of dishonesty, and the response of your supporters and
| Continue reading >> Dear Bernie: I Like You, But These Red Flags Are Too Frequent to Ignore
A common criticism of Bernie that I and others have made is that there is no chance for him to get his plans through Congress. A common retort I hear from Bernie supporters is ‘well, how would Hillary get her plans passed?’ Leaving aside the overarching fallacy of equivalence that Bernie and Hillary would face the same quality of opposition for diverse proposals, there
| Continue reading >> Bernie Versus The World
The crowds at Bernie Sanders rallies could easily be mistaken for those attending a mega-church tent revival—all smiles, music and enthusiasm out the yin-yang. Hillary Clinton’s events by comparison have the more sobering feel of the Sunday School class your mom made you go to. But that doesn’t change the fact that beyond his core loyalists Bernie Sanders is not widely seen as
| Continue reading >> You’re Damn Right Electability Matters to Black Voters
Last night in New Hampshire, Bernie Sanders achieved a resounding and historic win. Bernie became the first Jew to win the state, and by the widest margin of any Democrat in the last 56 years. A great and impressive win, and although I am firmly behind Clinton to be our next president, you will not find sour grapes, bitterness, or attempts to minimize what
| Continue reading >> Good For Bernie. Great For Hillary.